Identified risk: fires
Fires in buildings, vehicles and outdoor structures are known as primary fires as they are most likely to involve a risk to life. The majority of outdoor fires, including grassland and refuse fires, are known as secondary fires.
The following graphs show the number of fires we attend each year, the causes and the impact of fire on communities and individuals. They also indicate the trends we may expect by 2027 (based on the past being an effective indicator of the future). As indicated in our identified risks table (https://www.dsfire.gov.uk/community-risk-plan/risks), fires continue to be a significant risk.
The following chart shows the number of primary fires attended by type of fire. We have also developed a trend line to indicate a level of forecasted risk which we use to anticipate demand.
Number of primary fires attended, including forecast to 2026/27
The chart shows data for the four high-level categories of primary fire attended: dwelling, other building, road vehicle and outdoor location. The forecasts are based on data, from April 2009 to March 2020. We have excluded the 2020/21 financial year from our calculations as the Covid-19 pandemic had an exceptional effect on some of our incident levels.
The forecasts indicate that we are likely to see a continuation of the downward trend in dwelling fires, while primary fires in other buildings, vehicles and outdoor locations are likely to remain at a relatively consistent level. This information helps us to understand what our future operational demand may look like.
The proportion of primary fires attended by main cause, April 2016 - March 2021
The chart below shows the proportion of primary fires attended by the main cause of the fire for the period April 2016 to March 2021. Deliberate ignition, faulty fuel supply and cooking are the most prevalent. This type of data is used to inform our community safety messages.
Between April 2016 and March 2021, over three-quarters of primary fires (80%) started accidentally. Fuel supply fault (17%) and cooking (16%) were the most common accidental causes. We use this information as a focus for our communication campaigns. Other causes include: overheating (unknown cause), equipment fault and combustibles placed too close to a heat source.
Number of fire-related deaths in our area, including forecast to 2026/27
The chart below shows the number of fire-related deaths in our Service area for each financial year for the period 2016/17 to 2020/21. For the period 2021/22 to 2026/27 a forecast of fire-related deaths is shown. There are around 1.8 million people in our Service area. Any fire death is a tragedy for those affected and we are committed to reducing fire deaths and injuries.